Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 4.649309 5.136230 5.655467 6.250937 6.915659 7.635647 8.475615
2026-01-04 3.916009 4.582686 5.339374 6.264113 7.366875 8.643638 10.239419
2026-01-11 3.331836 4.100140 5.021230 6.212167 7.718947 9.571978 12.038964
2026-01-18 2.849753 3.667619 4.697358 6.098391 7.969306 10.401642 13.835985
2026-01-25 2.463015 3.300234 4.402018 5.972315 8.175880 11.192106 15.691906
2026-02-01 2.153405 2.992611 4.142328 5.852157 8.363962 11.970980 17.637935
2026-02-08 1.901178 2.731329 3.911202 5.735948 8.532817 12.733151 19.662034
2026-02-15 1.709465 2.532669 3.743321 5.685566 8.784021 13.639295 22.031217
2026-02-22 1.587468 2.422145 3.690543 5.798696 9.295058 15.006350 25.342695
2026-03-01 1.448570 2.269524 3.554509 5.759963 9.549877 15.981881 28.129823
2026-03-08 1.302152 2.089208 3.354372 5.589885 9.557602 16.531170 30.230348
2026-03-15 1.198204 1.967158 3.235555 5.541236 9.765130 17.449415 33.145598
2026-03-22 1.134871 1.908525 3.219692 5.675404 10.327590 19.107764 37.809527
2026-03-29 1.073201 1.846525 3.191375 5.783281 10.854621 20.772526 42.778572
2026-04-05 1.004315 1.764991 3.119936 5.802026 11.211309 22.151412 47.386694
2026-04-12 0.931632 1.669653 3.013790 5.741552 11.401242 23.215219 51.487149
2026-04-19 0.863029 1.575507 2.900631 5.654016 11.523266 24.150705 55.458631
2026-04-26 0.800773 1.487732 2.791195 5.561423 11.621853 25.046844 59.497292
2026-05-03 0.744226 1.405986 2.685834 5.465382 11.700012 25.906243 63.601969
2026-05-10 0.699175 1.342898 2.611642 5.427048 11.901660 27.078505 68.733055
2026-05-17 0.673370 1.315998 2.608061 5.541203 12.467558 29.201020 76.822223
2026-05-24 0.635566 1.261373 2.542051 5.508879 12.682671 30.490546 82.856429
2026-05-31 0.589569 1.186031 2.425824 5.349897 12.570502 30.933294 86.539040